Race 7B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hailey Feinzig 11.7% 10.8% 12.2% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.7% 9.7% 7.1% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Michael Rivkin 10.5% 11.1% 9.8% 11.8% 10.9% 11.5% 9.7% 10.8% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Mary Castellini 10.0% 11.5% 11.5% 10.1% 9.7% 10.9% 10.8% 9.3% 8.8% 5.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Lillian Nemeth 10.9% 10.4% 9.3% 10.2% 10.9% 11.6% 10.9% 9.8% 8.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Chase Ireland 3.8% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 7.8% 11.7% 16.4% 18.9% 12.8% 4.2%
Sherman Thompson 15.3% 13.5% 14.6% 11.6% 11.6% 10.0% 8.0% 7.0% 5.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Nicholas Peluchiwski 13.8% 12.8% 12.5% 12.4% 11.8% 9.7% 10.8% 7.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 8.6% 8.8% 8.5% 10.5% 10.4% 10.3% 11.4% 10.8% 11.3% 6.3% 2.6% 0.4%
Andrew Michels 11.6% 12.7% 12.3% 13.1% 11.6% 10.5% 9.6% 8.2% 6.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Arthur Brown 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 8.3% 10.6% 22.5% 22.4% 12.8%
Russell English 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 4.4% 9.4% 21.6% 55.5%
River Martin 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.5% 8.0% 15.4% 32.1% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.