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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.81vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+0.71vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.35+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.25+0.13vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.39-1.08vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.87-2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.07-0.71vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.24-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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2.71Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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5.62The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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4.13University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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3.92Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.29University of Florida-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.47North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 14.3% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Seth Barrows | 28.4% | 25.3% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 18.9% |
| Dean Nixon | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Payne | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 23.0% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Chasco | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 25.7% | 35.1% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 25.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.