Race 8B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lillian Nemeth 10.0% 9.7% 11.7% 10.5% 10.0% 10.4% 11.0% 10.5% 9.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Sherman Thompson 14.1% 12.9% 13.2% 12.3% 12.0% 12.2% 9.2% 6.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Hailey Feinzig 10.8% 10.9% 10.5% 11.4% 11.5% 11.9% 9.9% 9.4% 8.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Mary Castellini 9.3% 11.3% 9.8% 10.7% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 10.2% 8.1% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Nicholas Peluchiwski 14.0% 13.1% 12.3% 10.8% 11.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.5% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Michael Rivkin 11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 10.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% 10.1% 7.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Chase Ireland 3.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.7% 6.3% 7.1% 10.2% 15.7% 18.8% 14.3% 3.7%
Andrew Michels 13.1% 12.8% 13.2% 12.0% 11.3% 9.4% 10.4% 8.3% 5.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 9.8% 7.6% 9.2% 10.5% 9.3% 9.8% 10.0% 12.6% 11.4% 6.7% 2.8% 0.4%
Arthur Brown 2.1% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 6.2% 7.6% 11.9% 20.2% 23.8% 11.0%
Russell English 0.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 9.5% 20.6% 56.9%
River Martin 1.6% 2.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 3.9% 7.3% 17.3% 30.0% 26.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.