← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.14+1.60vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.87+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.87vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.39-0.07vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.25-0.89vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel0.35-0.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Florida-0.07-0.70vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.24-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
-
3.1Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
-
3.87Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
3.93Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.61The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
-
6.3University of Florida-0.070.0%1st Place
-
6.47North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Barrows | 30.6% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hidley | 21.7% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Payne | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Dean Nixon | 11.5% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 18.8% |
| Ryan Chasco | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 35.4% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 25.4% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.