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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.87+2.02vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+0.68vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.25+0.13vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.39-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.07+0.25vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.35-1.31vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.24-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.68Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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3.86Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.13University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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3.9Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Florida-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.69The Citadel0.350.1%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hidley | 22.9% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Seth Barrows | 28.9% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Dean Nixon | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Alexandra Payne | 12.9% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Chasco | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 34.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 25.6% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.