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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.25+2.02vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.39+0.79vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.87-0.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.14-2.36vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.35-0.61vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.24-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.13-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.02University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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3.79Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.02Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.64Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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5.39The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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6.27North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Florida-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Dean Nixon | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Payne | 14.0% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Peter Hidley | 22.3% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 30.6% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 26.6% | 21.2% | 10.4% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 34.0% | 25.6% |
| Angela Skane | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 23.0% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.