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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.25+2.09vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.39+0.86vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.14-1.34vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.87-1.94vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.35-0.47vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.24-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.43-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.09University of South Florida1.250.1%1st Place
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3.86Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.66Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.53The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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6.43North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Florida-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 13.7% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Dean Nixon | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Payne | 14.6% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Seth Barrows | 29.7% | 22.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hidley | 21.6% | 23.0% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 15.1% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 26.8% | 36.6% |
| Ryan Johnson | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 25.1% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.