Race 13B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lillian Nemeth 10.5% 9.7% 11.6% 11.8% 10.1% 10.5% 11.0% 10.1% 7.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Thomas Szymanski 20.6% 16.7% 15.0% 13.1% 10.6% 8.6% 6.9% 4.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Hailey Feinzig 11.1% 12.3% 10.7% 10.5% 11.9% 10.4% 10.4% 9.4% 7.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 8.4% 8.8% 10.5% 9.2% 10.8% 10.5% 12.5% 10.8% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Brody Schwartz 7.9% 10.0% 7.3% 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.1% 7.8% 3.4% 0.4%
Arthur Brown 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 7.6% 11.2% 22.8% 22.5% 10.3%
Michael Rivkin 11.2% 12.0% 11.2% 11.5% 11.3% 10.2% 9.6% 10.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Mary Castellini 8.9% 9.4% 10.8% 10.0% 11.7% 11.4% 11.0% 10.4% 8.5% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Chase Ireland 4.3% 4.1% 5.5% 5.4% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 9.7% 16.2% 18.0% 12.3% 4.0%
Andrew Michels 13.0% 12.4% 11.9% 12.8% 10.8% 11.5% 9.7% 8.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
River Martin 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 7.1% 15.9% 32.3% 26.2%
Russell English 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 2.9% 4.3% 8.2% 20.1% 57.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.