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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.20+0.82vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.05+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Florida-0.36+2.42vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.42+0.15vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.77-1.38vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.38-0.56vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.81-0.85vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Eckerd College2.200.5%1st Place
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3.2University of South Florida1.050.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.15The Citadel0.420.1%1st Place
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3.62Tulane University0.770.1%1st Place
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5.44Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.15North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Brydges | 51.9% | 26.7% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Romer | 15.5% | 22.5% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Monson | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 15.6% |
| Robert Marshall | 7.5% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Michael Swanson | 11.9% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Martin | 4.3% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| April Lamb | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 31.8% |
| Scott Claudon | 1.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.