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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.20+0.78vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.42+2.18vs Predicted
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3Tulane University0.77+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.05-0.83vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.81+1.16vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36-1.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.38-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Eckerd College2.200.5%1st Place
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4.18The Citadel0.420.1%1st Place
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3.55Tulane University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.17University of South Florida1.050.2%1st Place
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6.16North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.26Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.41Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Brydges | 52.5% | 27.7% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Marshall | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Michael Swanson | 12.3% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Richard Romer | 15.6% | 21.9% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| April Lamb | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 25.2% | 28.8% |
| Scott Claudon | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 35.2% |
| Thomas Monson | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| Matthew Martin | 2.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.