Race 14B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hailey Feinzig 9.4% 9.8% 11.2% 9.6% 10.3% 10.4% 8.4% 9.8% 8.5% 6.2% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Thomas Szymanski 16.6% 15.3% 14.5% 13.0% 10.5% 9.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 10.2% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 8.5% 9.5% 7.8% 3.9% 2.4% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 9.3% 8.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.4%
Brody Schwartz 8.7% 8.6% 8.8% 8.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.7% 6.6% 2.9% 0.4%
Mary Castellini 10.4% 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 7.2% 6.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.2%
Michael Rivkin 9.0% 10.8% 10.5% 10.0% 10.4% 8.6% 11.4% 9.1% 9.5% 5.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Chase Ireland 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 5.9% 8.2% 10.3% 15.8% 17.9% 11.7% 3.3%
Andrew Michels 11.8% 12.8% 11.2% 11.9% 9.6% 9.3% 8.6% 9.4% 6.7% 5.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Emma Turner 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 6.0% 2.4% 0.4%
River Martin 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 7.2% 14.5% 28.4% 27.3%
Arthur Brown 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 7.8% 13.0% 20.8% 23.2% 10.4%
Russell English 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 3.2% 3.6% 7.6% 20.5% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.