← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+4.32vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.20+2.66vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.37+3.97vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.06+1.04vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.07+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.38+0.46vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.94-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.46-1.71vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.53-2.48vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.61-0.34vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute-0.08-2.70vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.9%1st Place
-
4.66Tufts University1.2013.6%1st Place
-
6.97Florida State University0.376.3%1st Place
-
5.04University of Vermont1.0613.4%1st Place
-
5.45Northeastern University1.0711.7%1st Place
-
6.46Connecticut College0.387.5%1st Place
-
6.32Roger Williams University0.948.2%1st Place
-
6.29Salve Regina University0.469.2%1st Place
-
6.52University of Rhode Island0.536.8%1st Place
-
9.66University of New Hampshire-0.612.4%1st Place
-
8.3Webb Institute-0.084.2%1st Place
-
7.64SUNY Maritime College-0.024.3%1st Place
-
12.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tomas Riccio | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Courtland Doyle | 13.6% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Carter Weatherilt | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
Ethan Burt | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Joshua Dillon | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Liam Gronda | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
Emil Tullberg | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
Cameron Silvers | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
James Frady | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 33.8% | 9.1% |
Marc Leyk | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 3.1% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 1.6% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.