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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.75vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+3.31vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+5.84vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+3.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61+5.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29+2.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California3.12+1.10vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.83-2.82vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.68vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.35+0.53vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-3.77vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.79-6.87vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.81-3.85vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.82-1.74vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.08-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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8.18Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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10.23Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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10.87Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christine Porter | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Dahl | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Christina Baker | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Darrin | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 42.1% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.