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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.02+2.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.57vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.55-0.42vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.63vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.46-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Bates College0.0221.3%1st Place
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2.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.4624.3%1st Place
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3.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0719.3%1st Place
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4.57University of New Hampshire-0.788.9%1st Place
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4.58Middlebury College-0.559.7%1st Place
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5.37Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.365.1%1st Place
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4.05Bentley University-0.4611.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 21.3% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 24.3% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 19.3% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Anne Berg | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 19.5% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 9.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| Victor Lomba | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 40.4% |
| Dane Phippen | 11.3% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.