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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.20+0.72vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.77+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Florida-0.36+2.05vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.05-2.03vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.02-1.46vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.81-1.22vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-1.47-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Eckerd College2.200.5%1st Place
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3.37Tulane University0.770.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.93Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
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2.97University of South Florida1.050.2%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.78North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.64The Citadel-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Brydges | 54.7% | 28.0% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Swanson | 13.1% | 18.2% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Monson | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 9.6% |
| Scott Claudon | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 23.7% |
| Richard Romer | 16.4% | 26.7% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Deryck Langford | 5.3% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| April Lamb | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 20.0% |
| Jenkins Montgomery | 0.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 24.2% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.