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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.05+1.92vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.77+1.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.20-1.30vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.02+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.36+0.11vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-1.47+0.68vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.81-1.19vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of South Florida1.050.2%1st Place
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3.39Tulane University0.770.1%1st Place
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1.7Eckerd College2.200.6%1st Place
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4.55Jacksonville University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.68The Citadel-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.81North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.85Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Romer | 17.3% | 26.4% | 24.6% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Swanson | 12.9% | 18.9% | 23.3% | 20.8% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Erik Brydges | 55.2% | 27.4% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deryck Langford | 5.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Monson | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 8.6% |
| Jenkins Montgomery | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 46.2% |
| April Lamb | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Scott Claudon | 1.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 24.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.