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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.78+3.59vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+0.94vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.46+1.00vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.02-0.78vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.55-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-2.80vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59University of New Hampshire-0.789.6%1st Place
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2.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.4623.6%1st Place
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4.0Bentley University-0.4611.8%1st Place
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3.22Bates College0.0221.4%1st Place
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4.71Middlebury College-0.557.3%1st Place
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3.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0720.0%1st Place
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5.34Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.366.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anne Berg | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
Stephen Poirier | 23.6% | 23.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
Dane Phippen | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
Jack Valentino | 21.4% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
Nicholas Leshaw | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
Timothy Burns | 20.0% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
Victor Lomba | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.