← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.05+1.98vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University0.77+1.48vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel-0.31+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.20-2.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida-0.36+0.27vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University-0.38-0.70vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90-0.84vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.81-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98University of South Florida1.050.2%1st Place
-
3.48Tulane University0.770.1%1st Place
-
5.17The Citadel-0.310.0%1st Place
-
1.75Eckerd College2.200.5%1st Place
-
5.27University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
-
5.3Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
-
5.9North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Romer | 18.1% | 24.9% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Swanson | 12.3% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Moe | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 12.3% |
| Erik Brydges | 52.7% | 28.5% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Monson | 3.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 13.2% |
| Matthew Martin | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 15.4% |
| Scott Claudon | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 33.1% |
| April Lamb | 2.3% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.