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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.10vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67-0.77vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.79+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.08vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7234.1%1st Place
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3.1University of New Hampshire-0.0015.8%1st Place
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2.23Bates College0.6734.0%1st Place
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4.03Middlebury College-0.797.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.777.5%1st Place
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5.54Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 34.1% | 32.0% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 15.8% | 18.9% | 23.5% | 26.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% |
| Ted Lutton | 34.0% | 28.4% | 22.3% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Grace Augspurger | 7.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 36.3% | 10.8% |
| Kate Myler | 7.5% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 24.1% | 32.0% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.