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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.18vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.04vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.79-1.05vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7233.8%1st Place
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2.23Bates College0.6733.5%1st Place
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3.11University of New Hampshire-0.0015.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.777.8%1st Place
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3.95Middlebury College-0.798.5%1st Place
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5.56Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.541.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 33.8% | 31.7% | 20.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 33.5% | 29.6% | 21.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 15.0% | 18.9% | 25.2% | 23.9% | 15.0% | 2.0% |
| Kate Myler | 7.8% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 24.5% | 33.7% | 9.8% |
| Grace Augspurger | 8.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 24.5% | 32.4% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 12.3% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.