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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+2.99vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University1.51+4.26vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.33+7.35vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.85+2.47vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.54vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.81-4.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-5.48vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.78-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-3.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.82-6.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-5.75vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59-5.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.86-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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7.26Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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10.99California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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13.35University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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10.99California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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10.99California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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9.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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11.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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13.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 19.5% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin McAlister | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 38.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.