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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+1.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.14vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.42+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.94vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.00vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Bates College0.6734.0%1st Place
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2.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7236.2%1st Place
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4.68Middlebury College-1.424.0%1st Place
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3.06University of New Hampshire-0.0015.1%1st Place
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5.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.9%1st Place
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3.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.777.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 34.0% | 30.6% | 21.8% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 36.2% | 30.6% | 20.0% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| William Procter | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 30.9% | 34.3% |
| James Sullivan | 15.1% | 18.9% | 27.9% | 23.9% | 11.2% | 3.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 27.1% | 47.4% |
| Kate Myler | 7.7% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 27.2% | 24.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.