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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+6.83vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.50+8.98vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.50+7.98vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-0.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.18-0.91vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+3.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.60-4.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.49-1.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35-5.16vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.42-3.15vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-4.97vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.04-3.65vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.50-6.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-5.19vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.44vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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10.98California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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10.98California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at San Diego1.180.1%1st Place
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13.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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10.89University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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10.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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12.35Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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10.98California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.56University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Coumes | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 20.6% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 44.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.