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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.17vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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3Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+1.99vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.42+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7235.2%1st Place
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2.19Bates College0.6734.6%1st Place
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4.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.5%1st Place
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4.66Middlebury College-1.423.9%1st Place
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3.02University of New Hampshire-0.0015.9%1st Place
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3.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.778.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 35.2% | 30.9% | 19.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 34.6% | 29.3% | 22.1% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 24.2% | 49.1% |
| William Procter | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 31.4% | 33.0% |
| James Sullivan | 15.9% | 20.6% | 26.8% | 21.9% | 12.2% | 2.6% |
| Kate Myler | 8.0% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 27.0% | 25.8% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.