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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+7.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+3.29vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.83+5.23vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+2.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.56vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.96vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-1.25vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68+0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.81+3.10vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.51-4.26vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.12+0.02vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.35+0.53vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.08-3.25vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.82+0.17vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.61-3.12vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.29-6.65vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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8.23Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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10.75Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.29Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Allison Blecher | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Darrin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Christina Baker | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 40.2% |
| Christine Porter | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.