Race 4B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tomas Riccio 11.3% 12.2% 12.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 6.4% 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Ethan Burt 12.9% 11.2% 10.9% 11.2% 10.5% 10.5% 8.6% 8.4% 5.9% 5.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Emil Tullberg 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 9.9% 8.5% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 5.1% 0.9%
Carter Weatherilt 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 10.0% 11.1% 10.0% 7.0% 1.0%
Joshua Dillon 11.2% 10.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.4% 11.1% 8.2% 8.0% 8.1% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Liam Gronda 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 9.7% 10.9% 7.1% 5.4% 0.9%
Courtland Doyle 15.1% 12.9% 11.8% 12.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 6.7% 5.1% 2.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Jakub Fuja 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.3% 9.5% 10.3% 8.8% 9.0% 8.0% 4.2% 0.5%
James Frady 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 2.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 7.1% 10.0% 15.0% 30.6% 9.0%
Jeremy Lunati 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 5.9% 8.2% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.3% 11.2% 12.4% 9.5% 2.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.2% 8.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 9.2% 9.4% 8.8% 5.9% 1.4%
Marc Leyk 4.0% 4.6% 4.6% 5.7% 5.4% 6.4% 5.5% 8.1% 9.6% 10.2% 14.9% 17.7% 3.4%
Brooklyn Geary 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 8.2% 80.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.