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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.07vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67-0.83vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.42+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.09vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7234.2%1st Place
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3.07University of New Hampshire-0.0015.6%1st Place
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2.17Bates College0.6735.5%1st Place
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4.66Middlebury College-1.424.2%1st Place
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3.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.778.5%1st Place
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5.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.582.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 34.2% | 30.5% | 20.8% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 15.6% | 19.8% | 26.3% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Ted Lutton | 35.5% | 29.6% | 21.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| William Procter | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 32.1% | 33.1% |
| Kate Myler | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 27.2% | 25.2% | 13.7% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 24.8% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.