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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.22vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+0.13vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.42+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.08vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7234.5%1st Place
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2.13Bates College0.6734.9%1st Place
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4.68Middlebury College-1.424.3%1st Place
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3.1University of New Hampshire-0.0014.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.778.7%1st Place
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4.95Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.583.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 34.5% | 28.9% | 21.6% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 34.9% | 32.2% | 20.8% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| William Procter | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 31.1% | 34.7% |
| James Sullivan | 14.0% | 19.4% | 26.8% | 25.2% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Kate Myler | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 27.0% | 24.8% | 14.4% |
| Jack Eddy | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 26.5% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.