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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.52+6.10vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.50+8.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+3.45vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.50+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+4.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.60-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.40vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.04+0.47vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+0.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.02+1.30vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-4.90vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.42-5.00vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.50-6.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.49-7.15vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.18-10.72vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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10.97California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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10.97California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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12.47Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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13.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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15.3University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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10.97California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at San Diego1.180.1%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Sanson | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 21.9% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle McManus | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 39.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.