Race 1A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luke Koerschner 29.4% 22.1% 17.2% 12.1% 8.2% 6.0% 2.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Jennifer Falkner 11.7% 12.2% 12.6% 12.4% 12.7% 11.2% 10.6% 8.0% 6.1% 2.6%
Margaret Swasey 8.6% 12.3% 12.4% 12.3% 10.1% 12.2% 11.8% 9.0% 7.3% 3.9%
Martin Moore 8.2% 8.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.7% 11.5% 11.0% 12.2% 10.9% 8.8%
Katie Barlow 5.8% 7.3% 7.8% 8.3% 10.1% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 14.3% 13.0%
Mitchell Irwin 12.2% 14.1% 13.5% 14.1% 12.4% 10.0% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 1.7%
Teague McGinn 5.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.6% 10.3% 13.0% 14.2% 22.5%
Joseph Mowrey 7.8% 8.6% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 11.1% 12.2% 11.1% 10.0% 7.5%
Carter Hrabrick 5.7% 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 9.1% 9.5% 10.1% 13.8% 16.4% 17.6%
Anastasia Sikkila 5.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 9.0% 10.5% 11.9% 15.4% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.