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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+1.74vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.14+2.42vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University0.03+1.27vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.48+1.34vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.26+1.49vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.29-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.80-1.26vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.51-2.84vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.97-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Michigan State University0.7429.8%1st Place
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4.42Hope College-0.1411.6%1st Place
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4.27Grand Valley State University0.0313.7%1st Place
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5.34Ohio State University-0.488.3%1st Place
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6.49Western Michigan University-1.264.1%1st Place
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4.68Miami University-0.2911.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Michigan-0.807.8%1st Place
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5.16Purdue University-0.518.6%1st Place
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6.15University of Notre Dame-0.975.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 29.8% | 24.5% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Martin Moore | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 28.1% |
| Margaret Swasey | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Katie Barlow | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.