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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University0.03+3.18vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.48+3.41vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.29+1.70vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.74-1.13vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.14-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.26-0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.80-2.39vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.51-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Grand Valley State University0.0314.6%1st Place
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5.41Ohio State University-0.488.2%1st Place
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4.7Miami University-0.2911.0%1st Place
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2.87Michigan State University0.7428.0%1st Place
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4.54Hope College-0.1411.8%1st Place
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6.11University of Notre Dame-0.975.8%1st Place
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6.44Western Michigan University-1.264.8%1st Place
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5.61University of Michigan-0.806.6%1st Place
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5.15Purdue University-0.519.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Irwin | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Martin Moore | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
| Margaret Swasey | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Luke Koerschner | 28.0% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 21.9% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 28.7% |
| Katie Barlow | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.