Race 4A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Koerschner 31.9% 23.5% 17.2% 12.0% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Martin Moore 6.9% 8.4% 10.1% 10.7% 12.8% 13.0% 13.6% 13.4% 11.2%
Mitchell Irwin 13.4% 14.3% 14.6% 14.6% 14.1% 10.4% 9.3% 6.1% 3.0%
Carter Hrabrick 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 8.8% 9.2% 11.2% 12.7% 17.0% 22.7%
Jennifer Falkner 10.4% 12.2% 14.4% 12.9% 13.7% 12.0% 12.2% 7.4% 4.7%
Margaret Swasey 11.2% 12.2% 11.6% 11.1% 12.5% 13.2% 11.8% 10.9% 5.5%
Anastasia Sikkila 5.6% 4.9% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 10.2% 11.6% 17.4% 26.9%
Joseph Mowrey 8.4% 10.4% 9.9% 11.9% 11.8% 13.5% 12.6% 11.8% 9.8%
Katie Barlow 6.4% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 10.8% 11.5% 13.8% 15.2% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.