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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.29+3.69vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University0.03+2.24vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.48+2.31vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.14+0.38vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.26+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.97-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.80-2.10vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.51-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Miami University-0.2910.6%1st Place
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4.24Grand Valley State University0.0314.1%1st Place
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5.31Ohio State University-0.488.9%1st Place
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4.38Hope College-0.1413.1%1st Place
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2.84Michigan State University0.7429.1%1st Place
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6.37Western Michigan University-1.264.8%1st Place
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6.15University of Notre Dame-0.974.7%1st Place
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5.9University of Michigan-0.805.5%1st Place
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5.13Purdue University-0.519.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Swasey | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Martin Moore | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 29.1% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 27.2% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| Katie Barlow | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.