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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+0.99vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.18+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.93+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.48+0.20vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.87-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Victoria2.290.4%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Victoria0.480.1%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.43University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 43.3% | 29.6% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 34.8% |
| Ted Alley | 11.5% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 12.1% |
| Brock Poesiat | 7.3% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 24.6% | 24.5% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 24.2% | 26.5% |
| David Berry | 27.5% | 30.6% | 21.8% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.