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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.93+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.29+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87-0.37vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.48-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.48-0.42vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Victoria2.290.4%1st Place
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2.63University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
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3.17Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Victoria0.480.1%1st Place
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4.51Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Alley | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 22.6% | 19.7% |
| Geoff Abel | 37.9% | 29.0% | 18.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| David Berry | 25.8% | 25.2% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Martin | 16.0% | 18.3% | 25.0% | 20.1% | 14.7% | 5.9% |
| Brock Poesiat | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 37.2% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 26.5% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.