Race 6A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Martin Moore 7.7% 8.5% 9.8% 10.3% 12.2% 14.1% 12.7% 14.0% 10.8%
Luke Koerschner 28.1% 25.1% 16.8% 11.9% 8.5% 5.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Carter Hrabrick 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 8.4% 11.8% 13.4% 15.5% 22.8%
Joseph Mowrey 7.6% 8.8% 10.4% 11.8% 13.2% 12.4% 12.5% 13.1% 10.1%
Mitchell Irwin 14.8% 13.8% 14.7% 13.9% 12.3% 10.9% 9.5% 6.6% 3.5%
Katie Barlow 6.2% 7.2% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 15.4% 16.0% 14.5%
Margaret Swasey 11.3% 10.9% 11.9% 12.7% 13.8% 12.4% 11.1% 10.1% 5.9%
Jennifer Falkner 13.1% 12.2% 14.2% 13.2% 13.6% 11.3% 11.1% 7.3% 4.0%
Anastasia Sikkila 5.0% 6.6% 5.7% 8.2% 7.7% 10.7% 11.7% 16.4% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.