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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+0.63vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.48+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.93-0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.48-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Victoria2.290.4%1st Place
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2.63University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
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3.16Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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4.52Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Victoria0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 36.5% | 29.7% | 18.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| David Berry | 27.4% | 24.3% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Martin | 16.5% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Ted Alley | 9.1% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 24.5% | 17.8% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 25.1% | 34.4% |
| Brock Poesiat | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 22.9% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.