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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University0.03+3.20vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.74+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.80+2.75vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.51+1.17vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.14-0.49vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.48-0.70vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.29-2.27vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.26-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.97-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Grand Valley State University0.0314.0%1st Place
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2.77Michigan State University0.7429.8%1st Place
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5.75University of Michigan-0.805.7%1st Place
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5.17Purdue University-0.519.6%1st Place
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4.51Hope College-0.1412.0%1st Place
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5.3Ohio State University-0.488.3%1st Place
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4.73Miami University-0.2910.8%1st Place
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6.38Western Michigan University-1.264.7%1st Place
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6.19University of Notre Dame-0.975.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Irwin | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Luke Koerschner | 29.8% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Katie Barlow | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Martin Moore | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Margaret Swasey | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 27.9% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.