Race 8A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mitchell Irwin 12.3% 13.1% 14.4% 12.9% 13.2% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 4.2% 2.6%
Luke Koerschner 27.6% 21.7% 18.6% 11.8% 9.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Anastasia Sikkila 4.8% 4.8% 5.4% 6.9% 8.4% 8.6% 10.9% 12.3% 15.3% 22.6%
Carter Hrabrick 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 11.1% 13.1% 14.3% 18.7%
Katie Barlow 6.2% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 9.6% 10.9% 11.8% 13.0% 12.3% 12.3%
Margaret Swasey 10.5% 11.9% 11.3% 10.1% 11.7% 11.5% 11.8% 9.4% 7.9% 3.9%
Jennifer Falkner 12.3% 12.0% 12.8% 13.2% 11.2% 10.9% 10.8% 8.2% 6.2% 2.5%
Martin Moore 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 10.5% 9.7% 11.8% 10.9% 11.5% 11.7% 8.8%
Teague McGinn 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 7.8% 7.7% 8.7% 9.5% 12.6% 17.1% 21.8%
Joseph Mowrey 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 10.7% 11.4% 11.8% 10.8% 11.2% 10.2% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.