Race 5B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ethan Burt 13.0% 11.9% 11.9% 11.3% 10.3% 10.1% 7.7% 7.6% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Courtland Doyle 13.3% 14.6% 12.5% 11.1% 11.2% 10.0% 8.2% 6.2% 4.9% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
William Hurd 9.4% 11.1% 9.8% 10.5% 10.8% 8.6% 10.2% 8.9% 7.1% 6.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.5% 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 10.3% 9.6% 10.4% 9.0% 9.6% 5.5% 0.6%
Joshua Dillon 11.7% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 8.4% 8.5% 7.1% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Jakub Fuja 7.9% 7.1% 8.4% 8.9% 8.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.2% 10.5% 8.6% 7.8% 4.9% 0.4%
Tomas Riccio 12.2% 10.9% 10.8% 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 8.1% 8.0% 6.9% 5.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.2%
James Frady 2.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 7.5% 9.3% 14.0% 34.0% 9.6%
Emil Tullberg 7.9% 8.0% 7.7% 8.2% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1% 8.3% 8.1% 9.4% 4.9% 0.4%
Jeremy Lunati 4.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.4% 6.2% 7.2% 7.3% 9.8% 9.6% 11.4% 13.6% 10.9% 1.7%
Carter Weatherilt 5.6% 6.2% 7.0% 6.6% 8.1% 7.1% 9.2% 8.8% 10.8% 10.7% 10.8% 7.7% 1.5%
Marc Leyk 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.9% 8.8% 9.2% 12.8% 13.9% 16.2% 3.2%
Brooklyn Geary 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.9% 8.3% 82.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.