← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University-0.60+2.89vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-0.44+1.50vs Predicted
-
3Miami University-1.05+1.94vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.70+0.10vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-0.54-1.19vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-2.30+1.10vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-1.46-1.55vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.73-1.90vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-1.76-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89Michigan State University-0.6017.4%1st Place
-
3.5Grand Valley State University-0.4420.2%1st Place
-
4.94Miami University-1.0510.4%1st Place
-
4.1Purdue University-0.7013.4%1st Place
-
3.81Ohio State University-0.5417.1%1st Place
-
7.1Hope College-2.302.9%1st Place
-
5.45University of Michigan-1.467.8%1st Place
-
6.1Western Michigan University-1.734.8%1st Place
-
6.11University of Notre Dame-1.765.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brynna Smith | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Corder | 20.2% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Maher | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Casler | 13.4% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Sterling Thompson | 17.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Laura Prince | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 41.2% |
| Hal Berdichesky | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Jonathon Jollay | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.