← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University-0.70+3.12vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-0.44+1.53vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.08+1.99vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-1.73+2.21vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-0.54-1.25vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-2.30+1.22vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-0.60-3.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-1.76-1.69vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-1.05-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12Purdue University-0.7014.6%1st Place
-
3.53Grand Valley State University-0.4419.9%1st Place
-
4.99University of Michigan-1.089.7%1st Place
-
6.21Western Michigan University-1.735.0%1st Place
-
3.75Ohio State University-0.5417.5%1st Place
-
7.22Hope College-2.302.9%1st Place
-
3.95Michigan State University-0.6015.3%1st Place
-
6.31University of Notre Dame-1.764.6%1st Place
-
4.91Miami University-1.0510.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Casler | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Sarah Corder | 19.9% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Anna Brieden | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
Keegan Aerts | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 21.3% |
Sterling Thompson | 17.5% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Laura Prince | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 41.6% |
Brynna Smith | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
Jonathon Jollay | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 19.4% |
Tanner Knox | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.