← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University-0.44+2.58vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan-1.08+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-0.54+0.91vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame-1.76+2.26vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.70-0.88vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-1.05-1.22vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-0.60-3.08vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.73-1.74vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-2.30-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58Grand Valley State University-0.4419.3%1st Place
-
4.9University of Michigan-1.089.8%1st Place
-
3.91Ohio State University-0.5415.2%1st Place
-
6.26University of Notre Dame-1.764.4%1st Place
-
4.12Purdue University-0.7015.2%1st Place
-
4.78Miami University-1.0511.2%1st Place
-
3.92Michigan State University-0.6017.4%1st Place
-
6.26Western Michigan University-1.735.0%1st Place
-
7.26Hope College-2.302.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sarah Corder | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Anna Brieden | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
Sterling Thompson | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Jonathon Jollay | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
Benjamin Casler | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
Tanner Knox | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
Brynna Smith | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
Keegan Aerts | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 19.4% |
Laura Prince | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.