Race 8B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Casler 14.4% 15.5% 12.3% 12.7% 12.1% 13.2% 9.3% 6.7% 3.0% 0.8%
Jonathon Jollay 5.9% 4.7% 6.2% 6.6% 8.8% 11.2% 12.2% 13.8% 17.2% 13.4%
Sarah Corder 19.2% 17.8% 16.6% 13.7% 12.2% 8.2% 6.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Jacob Maher 9.3% 9.7% 10.7% 10.2% 11.4% 11.6% 13.1% 11.2% 8.2% 4.7%
Brynna Smith 13.9% 15.3% 15.2% 14.9% 12.8% 9.8% 9.1% 5.7% 2.1% 1.1%
Sterling Thompson 18.2% 16.4% 14.1% 14.4% 12.8% 9.8% 7.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Hal Berdichesky 6.5% 7.6% 9.1% 9.6% 8.8% 11.4% 13.0% 13.2% 12.7% 8.1%
Keegan Aerts 6.2% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.9% 10.2% 11.7% 14.3% 16.1% 13.9%
Laura Prince 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 4.5% 4.1% 5.5% 7.3% 13.0% 19.4% 36.0%
Luqman Waheeduddin 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.6% 8.0% 9.1% 10.5% 14.2% 17.3% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.