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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.85vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.42+5.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.20+0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99+1.13vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34+0.82vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.17+2.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.27vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24-2.66vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-4.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-1.69vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.32+0.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-4.35vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.72vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.58-6.29vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Dartmouth College2.9011.4%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.8510.5%1st Place
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7.85Boston University1.797.3%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.425.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.477.0%1st Place
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6.23Yale University3.2010.3%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.996.5%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University1.172.1%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.8%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.246.3%1st Place
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7.58Connecticut College2.297.5%1st Place
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11.31University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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14.19Salve Regina University1.320.9%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.5%1st Place
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13.28Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont1.583.6%1st Place
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16.11Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 24.1% | 17.9% |
| John Ped | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 11.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Luke Healy | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.