← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley1.48+4.66vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University1.55+3.34vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.80vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-0.75vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+1.90vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay1.63-0.59vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.87+0.23vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.36+0.85vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis0.42-0.15vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-1.65vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.54+0.30vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.50-3.44vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.43-4.33vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-1.55-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
5.34Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
-
3.8California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.2%1st Place
-
3.25California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.3%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
5.41California State University Monterey Bay1.630.1%1st Place
-
7.23University of California at Berkeley0.870.1%1st Place
-
8.85California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
8.85University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.56California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
8.67University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.84University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hiew | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ale | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 19.7% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 25.8% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Mark Hurdle | 10.5% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| David Macko | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| Lucas Murray | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Mike McCarthy | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Jason Barr | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 31.1% | 19.9% |
| Christina Stege | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Connor Bockman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.