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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+5.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.99+4.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+4.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+0.77vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.17+3.81vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24-0.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-3.84vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.23vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+2.10vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.42-4.38vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-2.84vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.73-1.58vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-5.44vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.90-11.23vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Yale University3.2010.8%1st Place
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7.93Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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8.69Boston College2.345.3%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.997.2%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University2.477.5%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.2%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College2.296.8%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University1.172.1%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College2.244.7%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.8510.5%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.2%1st Place
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14.1Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.425.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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13.42Fairfield University0.731.2%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College2.9013.5%1st Place
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16.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 18.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 12.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.