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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.00+4.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+4.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+2.44vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+1.47vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.37+2.11vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.08+2.12vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.61+1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.06-3.83vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.20-6.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.53-5.25vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Connecticut College1.0010.4%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University0.947.8%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.6%1st Place
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5.47Northeastern University1.0711.0%1st Place
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7.11Florida State University0.376.2%1st Place
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8.12Webb Institute-0.084.4%1st Place
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6.48Salve Regina University0.468.3%1st Place
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9.62University of New Hampshire-0.612.7%1st Place
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5.17University of Vermont1.0611.7%1st Place
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7.74SUNY Maritime College-0.023.9%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.2014.3%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island0.537.2%1st Place
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12.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Hurd | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Jakub Fuja | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
Tomas Riccio | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
Joshua Dillon | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Carter Weatherilt | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
Marc Leyk | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 4.1% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
James Frady | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 32.5% | 9.7% |
Ethan Burt | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
Courtland Doyle | 14.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Cameron Silvers | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.