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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.06+4.48vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.53vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.59vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-1.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.09vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.84-1.17vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-3.69vs Predicted
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9-0.62+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.36-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.61-0.36vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.45-1.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.90-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48University of California at Berkeley1.060.1%1st Place
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6.53California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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4.59Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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2.7California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.3%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.1%1st Place
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5.83California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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4.31California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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9.78-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Davis-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.31California State University Monterey Bay-1.450.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Davis-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Bordes | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lamb | 32.1% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Verdoia | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Shimeld | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 22.4% | 32.3% | 14.8% |
| Casey Weisenseel | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 22.8% | 27.9% | 11.7% |
| Sarah Stowell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 16.9% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.