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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.28vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+3.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+3.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+3.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+2.87vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+2.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+1.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.41vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.34-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+0.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.99-2.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.17-0.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-5.32vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-2.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.32-0.75vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.58vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-3.78vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Brown University2.8510.2%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College2.9012.8%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.2010.3%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.477.7%1st Place
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7.87Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College2.245.9%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.424.5%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.5%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.172.2%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College2.297.3%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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14.25Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.1%1st Place
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13.22Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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16.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 23.0% | 18.6% |
| John Ped | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 12.0% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.