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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University1.42+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.06+3.37vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-0.31vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+0.32vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.29vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.84-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.61+1.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.90+2.29vs Predicted
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12-0.62-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.36-3.97vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.45-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Berkeley1.060.1%1st Place
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2.69California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.3%1st Place
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4.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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6.8California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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6.05California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Davis-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Davis-2.900.0%1st Place
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9.75-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.33California State University Monterey Bay-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Cappellini | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Bordes | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 32.7% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Verdoia | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Shimeld | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 33.2% | 14.9% |
| Sarah Stowell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 70.4% |
| Grant Lin | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 2.3% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Casey Weisenseel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 22.3% | 31.0% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.