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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+5.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+5.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+1.84vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+1.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.42+3.02vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+1.75vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+1.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.32vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+2.21vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.17-1.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-6.28vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-6.46vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.83vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-0.98vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Yale University3.2010.9%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.477.3%1st Place
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7.93Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.9012.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.8512.3%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.425.3%1st Place
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8.75Boston College2.345.8%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University1.996.3%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
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11.42University of Rhode Island2.102.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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14.21Salve Regina University1.320.5%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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7.72Connecticut College2.297.2%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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13.17Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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16.02Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.5%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 19.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 12.6% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 53.1% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.