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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+6.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+7.19vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+4.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+0.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-1.24vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-2.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.31vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.73+0.43vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.32+0.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.42-6.14vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-8.30vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.17-5.16vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Dartmouth College2.9011.7%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.344.6%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.209.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island2.103.4%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.859.8%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University1.996.8%1st Place
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7.76Boston University1.797.8%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University2.478.4%1st Place
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10.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.8%1st Place
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13.43Fairfield University0.731.6%1st Place
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14.15Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.425.3%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College2.297.1%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University1.172.7%1st Place
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16.05Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 12.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 22.3% | 19.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 5.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.