← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+5.09vs Predicted
-
2California State University Channel Islands0.37+10.37vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands0.37+9.37vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+4.40vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego1.81+1.66vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine1.35+2.33vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.64-2.81vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.82+2.35vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine0.90+1.01vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-4.72vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University1.51-2.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California0.85-1.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California0.78-2.15vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-9.52vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-0.75vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-3.10vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.63vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego0.31-5.66vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego0.49-7.14vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
12.37California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.37California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.33University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
4.19University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
-
10.35University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
5.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
-
8.04Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
-
10.35University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.85University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
4.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
14.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
-
12.9University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
12.37California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
-
14.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 18.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 10.7% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 25.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 25.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.