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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+4.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.99+6.04vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+7.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+6.87vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+5.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+4.40vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+1.60vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-2.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79-1.38vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-1.21vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24-2.72vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+1.77vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.20-7.11vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.42-5.43vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-7.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.17-4.33vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-0.98vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Brown University2.8511.8%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University1.996.2%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.6%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.8%1st Place
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8.6Boston College2.344.8%1st Place
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5.37Dartmouth College2.9013.5%1st Place
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7.62Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.245.8%1st Place
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13.77Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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5.89Yale University3.2011.8%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.426.0%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.477.6%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.172.7%1st Place
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16.02Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.5%1st Place
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12.9Fairfield University0.731.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Samuel Merson | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
John Ped | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
Matthew Kickhafer | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
Jack DeNatale | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Robert Bragg | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Alden Grimes | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 16.2% |
Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 56.2% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.