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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.58+7.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+4.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+5.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90-0.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+0.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+1.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.42-1.35vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-3.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.99-3.90vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-4.57vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.28+1.85vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.17-3.26vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.32-2.14vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-6.74vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Yale University3.2010.9%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.8510.8%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College2.246.5%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.4%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College2.9013.5%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.797.2%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island2.103.8%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.425.5%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.478.3%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.996.6%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.345.5%1st Place
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15.85Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.7%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
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13.86Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.0%1st Place
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13.1Fairfield University0.731.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 52.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 18.9% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.