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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+1.90vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.42+3.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.99+1.91vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.20-1.02vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34+0.68vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-0.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58-0.73vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.17-0.28vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.32+1.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-4.20vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.63vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-3.88vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Dartmouth College2.9012.8%1st Place
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7.63Boston University1.796.8%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.478.6%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.8511.2%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University2.426.0%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University1.995.8%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.2011.3%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.345.2%1st Place
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8.77Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.246.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont1.584.4%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University1.321.7%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.9%1st Place
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13.12Fairfield University0.731.5%1st Place
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15.98Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 21.5% | 17.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 11.1% |
| Luke Healy | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 16.0% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.