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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.27vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+3.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+5.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.41vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.07vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+2.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99+0.91vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.20-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+2.10vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+3.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.57vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-4.29vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-4.14vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-0.90vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-4.69vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-7.28vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-0.91vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.17-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Dartmouth College2.9014.4%1st Place
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5.87Brown University2.8511.5%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University2.426.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.6%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University2.478.4%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.245.3%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University1.995.7%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.2012.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
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13.67Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.4%1st Place
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7.71Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.344.7%1st Place
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13.1Fairfield University0.731.9%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College1.926.3%1st Place
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16.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.4%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.172.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 17.1% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 11.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 53.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.