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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.01vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University1.51+4.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.56vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.90+2.03vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.82+0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.78-0.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35-3.43vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.05vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-5.42vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.85-4.83vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33-1.87vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.49-5.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-3.43vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-5.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego0.31-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.93Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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11.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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11.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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11.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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14.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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14.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Chung | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 18.8% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 30.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.