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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+5.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24+4.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+5.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+5.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90-1.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+0.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.42-0.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.05+2.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-3.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-1.76vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-5.54vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.92-5.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-4.74vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.94vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.32-3.11vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Yale University3.2010.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.8511.3%1st Place
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8.49Boston College2.346.3%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.246.4%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.102.4%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College2.9013.6%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University1.995.6%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.425.6%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.052.4%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.478.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston University1.797.8%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.5%1st Place
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13.06Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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13.89Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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15.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 7.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.2% | 16.7% |
| Luke Healy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.