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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+5.98vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+6.56vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+5.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.20+0.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90-0.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.15vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34+0.43vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-0.25vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+4.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-4.28vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-5.04vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-3.10vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.05-2.61vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-5.88vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-1.12vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Harvard University2.478.5%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.424.7%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.246.5%1st Place
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6.05Brown University2.8510.9%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.2012.2%1st Place
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5.35Dartmouth College2.9012.7%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.2%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.346.2%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College1.925.4%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.4%1st Place
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7.72Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.051.8%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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15.88Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.8%1st Place
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13.12Fairfield University0.732.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 7.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Luke Healy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 50.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.