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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+5.44vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.50+8.04vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.50+7.04vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+4.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+1.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.60-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-3.90vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.52-3.01vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.11+4.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-5.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.39-5.26vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.50-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.71vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.54-2.77vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.42-6.80vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.18-10.61vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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11.04California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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11.04California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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6.75University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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10.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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15.74Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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11.04California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego1.180.1%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 19.9% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 45.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.