← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Hurd 11.1% 11.1% 8.2% 11.2% 11.4% 10.1% 8.9% 8.4% 6.8% 6.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Jakub Fuja 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 9.4% 10.6% 10.2% 8.8% 7.6% 6.6% 4.0% 0.4%
Tomas Riccio 11.8% 11.7% 12.1% 10.5% 10.9% 9.8% 8.6% 8.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Kamron Kaiser 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 6.5% 6.0% 6.8% 7.3% 10.1% 10.1% 12.7% 12.8% 11.3% 2.0%
Emil Tullberg 8.6% 8.9% 8.1% 8.1% 9.3% 8.6% 8.6% 9.4% 10.1% 9.1% 7.1% 3.5% 0.5%
Marc Leyk 4.0% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 9.8% 12.0% 16.1% 13.2% 2.8%
Charles Wilkinson 11.8% 12.0% 10.6% 10.7% 9.0% 9.0% 10.1% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.6% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 10.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.1% 9.9% 8.2% 4.9% 0.7%
Luke Barker 2.8% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.0% 9.2% 11.3% 15.6% 18.6% 4.7%
Ethan Burt 13.2% 10.8% 12.0% 11.8% 11.3% 9.1% 8.6% 7.6% 6.8% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Courtland Doyle 14.4% 13.7% 13.8% 11.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.4% 6.4% 5.8% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
James Frady 2.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 5.5% 7.3% 9.1% 14.4% 30.0% 9.4%
Brooklyn Geary 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 4.0% 8.4% 78.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.