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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.00+4.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+4.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+2.15vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.12+3.77vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+1.26vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.08+2.10vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.00-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.53-1.41vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.13-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.06-4.95vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.20-6.33vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.61-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Connecticut College1.0011.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University0.947.2%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.8%1st Place
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7.77Florida State University0.124.8%1st Place
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6.26Salve Regina University0.468.6%1st Place
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8.1Webb Institute-0.084.0%1st Place
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5.29Northeastern University1.0011.8%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island0.537.6%1st Place
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8.6SUNY Maritime College-0.132.8%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont1.0613.2%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University1.2014.4%1st Place
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9.49University of New Hampshire-0.612.4%1st Place
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12.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Hurd | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Jakub Fuja | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Tomas Riccio | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Kamron Kaiser | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 2.0% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Marc Leyk | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 2.8% |
Charles Wilkinson | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Cameron Silvers | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
Luke Barker | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 4.7% |
Ethan Burt | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Courtland Doyle | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
James Frady | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 30.0% | 9.4% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.