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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21+9.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12+8.12vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.83+3.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.61+6.71vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+4.02vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68+0.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.29+0.49vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.79-2.69vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-3.35vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.20vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.51-8.62vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-8.29vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.81-3.90vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-3.23vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.82-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.69Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
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5.3College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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7.92Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.71University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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11.02Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.31Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Baloch | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Allison Blecher | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christine Porter | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Darrin | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Christina Baker | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 20.8% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.