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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+6.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+5.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+2.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+3.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+4.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.32+5.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-2.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-1.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-2.14vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-6.30vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.99-7.03vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-10.50vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-4.01vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Brown University2.8510.9%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.424.7%1st Place
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8.62Boston College2.346.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.2010.0%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.478.5%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.052.4%1st Place
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14.09Salve Regina University1.320.9%1st Place
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7.71Boston University1.797.2%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.4%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont1.584.5%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island2.103.4%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College2.297.3%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.996.4%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College2.9013.2%1st Place
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12.99Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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15.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 18.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 9.2% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.