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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.58+9.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+3.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+7.00vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+5.49vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.42+2.60vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+1.68vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+0.65vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.24-0.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-2.72vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.32+2.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.99-4.07vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-6.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-3.77vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.73-1.89vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.05-3.37vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.43vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.79-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.53University of Vermont1.582.5%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College2.9012.3%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.2012.7%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.5%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University2.426.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.344.8%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.246.2%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University2.477.0%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.996.8%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.8511.7%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.4%1st Place
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13.11Fairfield University0.731.9%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University1.051.8%1st Place
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14.57Maine Maritime Academy0.271.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| John Ped | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 22.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 32.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.