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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.81vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.50+8.87vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.50+7.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+2.46vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.60-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-4.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.79vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.04+2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-3.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.54+2.19vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-2.47vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.50-3.13vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.42-4.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-9.99vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.99vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-6.19vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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10.87California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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10.87California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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8.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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12.25Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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10.87California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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14.01University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 19.4% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.