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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+6.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+3.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+5.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+1.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.92+3.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+2.27vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.05+5.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-2.49vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.42-0.54vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+0.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.99-3.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+1.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-2.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-4.34vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-8.42vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-3.87vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Harvard University2.477.7%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.2011.6%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.345.5%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.8511.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College2.246.3%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.051.8%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College2.9013.6%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University2.425.9%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.9%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University1.996.7%1st Place
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13.85Salve Regina University1.321.4%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont1.583.4%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island2.103.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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13.13Fairfield University0.731.6%1st Place
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15.93Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 10.8% |
| Luke Healy | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.