← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University1.88+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.37vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.30-0.33vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.14+0.97vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08+2.89vs Predicted
-
6University of Georgia-0.45+2.76vs Predicted
-
7Duke University0.72-1.13vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-1.09+1.94vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.35-2.20vs Predicted
-
10University of Tennessee0.16-2.76vs Predicted
-
11Auburn University-0.78-1.43vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.51-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42Clemson University1.880.2%1st Place
-
4.37Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
2.67College of Charleston2.300.3%1st Place
-
4.97North Carolina State University1.140.1%1st Place
-
7.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
-
5.87Duke University0.720.1%1st Place
-
9.94North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
6.8The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
-
9.57Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
6.51Clemson University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Roberts | 20.7% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 10.9% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hause | 32.6% | 23.5% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 15.5% |
| Alexander Katsis | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 40.1% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 26.4% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.