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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+6.46vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.58+8.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+7.38vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.32+9.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+3.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85-0.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.20-1.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.42+0.72vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-0.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-0.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.99-4.17vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-7.39vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-5.80vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-4.81vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.94vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.05-4.63vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.28-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.7%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.345.9%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.8511.8%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.2011.8%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University2.425.8%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.478.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island2.103.9%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University1.996.3%1st Place
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5.61Dartmouth College2.9012.5%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College2.245.2%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.1%1st Place
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13.06Fairfield University0.732.1%1st Place
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12.37Northeastern University1.052.4%1st Place
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15.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.280.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 8.0% |
| Luke Healy | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.